Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.044213 0.051646 0.059824 0.069472 0.080527 0.092779 0.107370
2025-04-27 0.034773 0.044922 0.057122 0.072798 0.092327 0.115771 0.145954
2025-05-04 0.026488 0.037437 0.051673 0.071379 0.097761 0.131648 0.178221
2025-05-11 0.021063 0.032263 0.047875 0.070941 0.103806 0.148533 0.213495
2025-05-18 0.016693 0.027541 0.043658 0.068922 0.106982 0.161507 0.244637
2025-05-25 0.013556 0.023955 0.040333 0.067422 0.110330 0.174670 0.277058
2025-06-01 0.011503 0.021643 0.038485 0.067718 0.116140 0.191737 0.316648
2025-06-08 0.009522 0.019045 0.035695 0.065966 0.118287 0.203143 0.348389
2025-06-15 0.008690 0.018328 0.035944 0.069268 0.128987 0.229006 0.405354
2025-06-22 0.007538 0.016779 0.034446 0.069225 0.133839 0.245561 0.448376
2025-06-29 0.006368 0.014966 0.032156 0.067361 0.135130 0.256022 0.481813
2025-07-06 0.005495 0.013600 0.030505 0.066441 0.137948 0.269260 0.521037
2025-07-13 0.005127 0.013296 0.031000 0.069905 0.149638 0.299853 0.594614
2025-07-20 0.004711 0.012806 0.031032 0.072434 0.159797 0.328590 0.667402
2025-07-27 0.004023 0.011523 0.029139 0.070636 0.161033 0.340536 0.709787
2025-08-03 0.003517 0.010588 0.027876 0.070016 0.164592 0.357241 0.762641
2025-08-10 0.002998 0.009505 0.026083 0.067934 0.164750 0.367117 0.802834
2025-08-17 0.002587 0.008623 0.024627 0.066412 0.165918 0.379071 0.848073
2025-08-24 0.002317 0.008089 0.023961 0.066684 0.171120 0.399818 0.912887
2025-08-31 0.001997 0.007328 0.022568 0.064947 0.171449 0.410150 0.956688
2025-09-07 0.001909 0.007278 0.023097 0.068197 0.183962 0.448051 1.062140
2025-09-14 0.001710 0.006820 0.022409 0.068153 0.188452 0.468487 1.131238
2025-09-21 0.001480 0.006194 0.021126 0.066314 0.188263 0.478292 1.177608